Saturday, June 21, 2008

Targeted States: New Mexico

New Mexico voted for Al Gore in 2000, but for George W. Bush in 2004.

Currently, New Mexico has a Democratic senator, Jeff Bingaman, and a Republican one, Pete Domenici. The governor of the state is Democrat Bill Richardson.

A total of 153,299 Democrats turned out for the primary on Feb. 5, as compared to 110,438 for the Republicans on June 3. The latter contest though was held long after the Republican race was decided.

Barack Obama is consistently beating John McCain in New Mexico polls for the general election.

General Election: McCain vs. Obama (RealClearPolitics)

PollDateSampleObama (D)McCain (R)Spread
RCP Average06/12 - 06/19--47.542.0Obama +5.5
USA Today/Gallup06/15 - 06/191310 LV5044Obama +6.0
Newsweek06/18 - 06/19896 RV5136Obama +15.0
FOX News06/17 - 06/18900 RV4541Obama +4.0
Rasmussen Tracking06/17 - 06/193000 LV4844Obama +4.0
Gallup Tracking06/16 - 06/192648 RV4644Obama +2.0
Reuters/Zogby06/12 - 06/141113 LV4742Obama +5.0
ABC News/Wash Post06/12 - 06/15--4945Obama +4.0
Cook/RT Strategies06/12 - 06/15880 RV4440Obama +4.0

New Mexico has a large Latino population and a Gallup Poll summary of surveys taken in May shows Obama winning 62% of Latino registered voters nationwide, compared with just 29% for McCain.

A May poll found that about 59 percent of voters thought Iraq and the economy were the most important issues facing the nation, followed in third place by national security, the issue picked by 10 percent of voters. The same poll found that 81% thought the country was on 'the wrong track,' indicating some trouble for the party presently in power.

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