Monday, January 12, 2009

Obama and Dems may dust it up

Despite having a strong Democratic majority in Congress, President-elect Barack Obama may have far from a smooth time getting his agenda passed.

Many might remember what happened to former president Bill Clinton who when first elected to office was in a similar situation as Obama. Clinton had to head-butt frequently with the Democrat-controlled Congress. The inefficacy probably contributed to the Democrats losing control of the legislature just two years later.

One sticking point that has arisen over Obama's stimulus plan concerns the large tax breaks included in the package. Many Democrats think that infrastructure spending would be a better idea than tax breaks. There is a strong possiblity that tax breaks will be stored away by Americans looking at hard times. That's not a bad thing really, since Americans do no need to save more, but it will not "stimulate" the economy i.e. increase spending.

The problem is that the vast majority of Americans have too little savings or negative savings, while the super-rich are hoarding money in dysfunctional derivative accounts. While the government should not meltdown the derivative market, they need a "soft landing" approach to recycle the capital in these funds.



Telegraph.co.uk

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